Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 6.556738 7.597409 8.712456 9.991842 11.414858 12.944705 14.709328
2025-04-06 4.756903 6.099335 7.649530 9.554960 11.816046 14.395379 17.541091
2025-04-13 3.475881 4.922047 6.716354 9.066754 12.021885 15.570462 20.106058
2025-04-20 2.883813 4.461410 6.545347 9.425804 13.223034 17.973352 24.271010
2025-04-27 2.559238 4.283060 6.688001 10.167001 14.936390 21.103759 29.520909
2025-05-04 2.243550 4.052040 6.709845 10.720675 16.418255 24.006745 34.630922
2025-05-11 1.862808 3.647568 6.416553 10.778554 17.198200 25.998950 38.626991
2025-05-18 1.486661 3.173554 5.943607 10.502994 17.454884 27.259807 41.668120
2025-05-25 1.195674 2.782878 5.538570 10.268707 17.724154 28.518183 44.727764
2025-06-01 0.992235 2.507525 5.278785 10.221042 18.245251 30.133715 48.327112
2025-06-08 0.818345 2.250398 5.010105 10.120331 18.658352 31.589086 51.732950
2025-06-15 0.751271 2.202212 5.109110 10.641301 20.076203 34.589635 57.483760
2025-06-22 0.640875 2.038253 4.977713 10.763701 20.880740 36.737605 62.126813
2025-06-29 0.499122 1.761787 4.584681 10.374711 20.806591 37.523807 64.763431
2025-07-06 0.378099 1.497781 4.170798 9.895494 20.532760 37.967743 66.881533
2025-07-13 0.340672 1.453088 4.220166 10.305317 21.824769 40.961381 73.029501
2025-07-20 0.332212 1.492856 4.463459 11.115702 23.868604 45.247013 81.322714
2025-07-27 0.311021 1.487179 4.600046 11.718995 25.566101 49.020315 88.914478
2025-08-03 0.263812 1.380785 4.481884 11.786668 26.284816 51.194985 94.029817
2025-08-10 0.208151 1.221654 4.206720 11.494135 26.310102 52.199395 97.290473
2025-08-17 0.164421 1.085874 3.965089 11.244387 26.391182 53.287950 100.704094
2025-08-24 0.135016 0.993677 3.821914 11.194255 26.844328 55.019127 105.200507
2025-08-31 0.108957 0.901686 3.661688 11.086671 27.172647 56.536615 109.377219